9

Damn Precious
3yo Colt · 9-1 · Draw 12
Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 4-14 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 21/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/08/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |