12
Gouttes De Dieu
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 7
Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 79% | -0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 21/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/06/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |