11
Hollie Wood
3yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 2
Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 59/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 21/05/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 70% | -0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 06/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 92% | +0.65 |