IvyArcIvyArc
4

Indy B

3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 10

Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

51%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 15/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 76 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 76 par15/084OR 764 @ Goodwood 02/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 78 · 6f Hvy 131 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 78 par1 @ York 11/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 78 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark11/10/2025 · OR 78 par11/101OR 78C5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 77 · 5f212y Sft 122 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 77 par1 @ Chantilly 28/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 77 · 5f212y Gd 122 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 77 par28/041OR 772 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 77 · 5f212y Sft 122 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 77 parC0 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13226/07C?C5 @ Vichy 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 6f211y Sft 124 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 77 parC5 @ Deauville 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 77 · 6f211y Std 118 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 77 par27/08C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Deauville?4th4th0
2026-08-15Vichy?1st1st0
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan?3rd3rd0
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud24th4th0
2026-04-28Chantilly18th8th0
2026-04-01La Teste De Buch?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/081/0426/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength7%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20253rd7/163%71%+0.08
02/09/20252nd5/287%50%-0.37
11/10/202513th125/10%0%0.00
01/04/20264th9/276%67%-0.10
28/04/20268th14/126%36%+0.10
22/05/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
26/07/20263rd9/488%60%-0.28
15/08/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
27/08/20264th7/282%75%-0.07