2
Marbellesa
3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 11
Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 58/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 20/09/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |