6

Oshia
3yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 9
Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.13 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.28 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 15/08/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.12 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |
| 24/09/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |