14
Roman Boy
3yo Colt · 8-4 · Draw 14
Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y
#13
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 7-14 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 16/07/2026 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 8% | -0.50 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 82% | +0.21 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |
| 17/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |