3
Saint Saens
3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 13
Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y
#12
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Clairefontaine | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 10-13 · tight 80/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength19%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 16/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 87% | +0.02 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 54% | -0.15 |
| 02/07/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 01/08/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |