5
Sky Dream
3yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 5
Chantilly · Prix De Senlis Handicap · 5f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Le Mans | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 13-14 · tight 83/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -18.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/09/2026 | 14th | 11/2 | 71% | 7% | -0.64 |