8
Regal Rules
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 8 · OR 54
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 38/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 25/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 13/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |