Sassy Sangria
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 5 · OR 67
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |