7
She's A Canny Lass
3yo Filly · 8-9 · Draw 7 · OR 54
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 9th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 58/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 23/09/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |