6
Amazing Bernie
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 80
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 11/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |