4
Dazzlemesilver
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 86
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 10/04/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 02/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |