8

Just For The Money

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 85

Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mahoning Valley 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 88 par13/03C5OR 88C7 @ Laurel Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 88 parC7 @ Laurel Park 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 89 · 7f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 89 par31/05C7OR 89C7 @ Laurel Park 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 86 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 86 parC0 @ Penn National 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f 12330/07C?C8 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 83 · 6f Slo 125 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Delaware Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 89 · 5f Sft 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 89 par29/08C5OR 89C7 @ Delaware Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 86 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 86 parC7 @ Delaware Park 30/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 87 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/09/2026 · OR 87 par30/09C7OR 87projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-30Delaware Park?6th5th+1
2026-09-11Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-08-29Delaware Park?8th5th+3
2026-08-08Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-30Penn National?4th4th0
2026-06-26Laurel Park?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0326/0629/0830/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength40%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
09/05/20265th10/382%20%-0.62
31/05/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
26/06/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
30/07/20264th5/174%25%-0.49
08/08/20262nd2/189%86%-0.04
29/08/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
11/09/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
30/09/20266th12/137%17%-0.20