9
Levee Was Dry
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 9 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-08-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 31/05/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 21/06/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 27/07/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |