7
Paralegal
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/02/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/02/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |