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13

Control The Time

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 13 · OR 70

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS31/07C6C6 @ Monmouth Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 66 · 5f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 66 par23/08C6OR 66C6 @ Monmouth Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 68 · 6f Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 68 par13/09C6OR 68projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Monmouth Park?6th3rd+3
2026-08-23Monmouth Park?4th1st+3
2026-07-31Monmouth Park?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0723/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 14-14 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -74.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20262nd20/10%86%+0.86
23/08/20264th6/168%70%+0.02
13/09/20266th7/491%29%-0.62