Gael My Boy

2yo Colt · 8-6 · Draw 12 · OR 47

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#13

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼1

Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-10	Delaware Park	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2026-08-20	Delaware Park	?	5th	5th	0	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength56%

Delivery trend +31.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/08/2026	5th	14/1	26%	20%	-0.06
10/09/2026	7th	25/1	0%	25%	+0.25