IvyArcIvyArc
8

Mucho Oro

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 8 · OR 62

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼3
Strength86%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS29/08C6C6 @ Delaware Park 25/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 58 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 58 par25/09C6OR 58projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Delaware Park?4th1st+3
2026-08-29Monmouth Park?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +57.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20264th5/174%40%-0.34
25/09/20264th16/116%40%+0.24