Rosebank Red

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 6 · OR 55

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARK

Move▼2

Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.8

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-26	Laurel Park	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-08-27	Delaware Park	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-14	Delaware Park	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-07-25	Colonial Downs	?	5th	3rd	+2	7.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 44/100

▼ UNDER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength63%

Delivery trend +14.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
25/07/2026	5th	7/2	82%	33%	-0.48
14/08/2026	6th	12/1	37%	29%	-0.08
27/08/2026	3rd	12/1	37%	60%	+0.23
26/09/2026	6th	14/1	26%	17%	-0.10