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Royal Authentic

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 1 · OR 48

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼3
Strength85%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS2/07C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 19/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 54 · 5f110y Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 54 par19/07C6OR 54C6 @ Colonial Downs 09/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 34 · 1m Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 34 par9/08C6OR 34C5 @ Colonial Downs 07/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 35 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 35 par7/09C5OR 35C6 @ Delaware Park 25/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 41 · 1m 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/09/2026 · OR 41 par25/09C6OR 41projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Delaware Park?6th3rd+3
2026-09-07Colonial Downs?6th1st+4
2026-08-09Colonial Downs?7th4th+3
2026-07-19Colonial Downs?7th4th+3
2026-07-02Colonial Downs?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0719/079/087/0925/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength15%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20266th25/10%0%0.00
19/07/20267th40/10%0%0.00
09/08/20267th50/10%33%+0.33
07/09/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
25/09/20266th20/10%0%0.00