Drop Me A Dime
3yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 4 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 14% | -0.59 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |