2
Leo's Foo
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
95%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 42/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |