3
So So
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 78
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 45/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 29% | -0.57 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |