Epitaph
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Belmont Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 18/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |