4

Long Legged Luis

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 81

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 06/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 7f 1246/03C9C6 @ Laurel Park 29/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 81 · 1m 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 81 par29/03C6OR 81C7 @ Laurel Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 87 par10/05C7OR 87C6 @ Laurel Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 87 par21/06C6OR 87C8 @ Colonial Downs 13/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 55 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 55 par13/08C8OR 55C8 @ Laurel Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 80 · 6f Slo 122 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 80 par11/09C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Laurel Park?1st2nd−1
2026-08-13Colonial Downs?8th9th−1
2026-06-21Laurel Park?6th5th+1
2026-05-10Laurel Park?5th5th0
2026-03-29Laurel Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-03-06Laurel Park?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0329/0310/0521/0613/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength65%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
29/03/20263rd9/153%50%-0.03
10/05/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
21/06/20266th20/10%0%0.00
13/08/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
11/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26