Apollo Eleven
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 8 · OR 71
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 07/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |