Regalpains
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-06-13 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 25/09/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |