Saratoga Cruiser
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
97%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 22/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |