5
Win Winnie Win
3yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 5 · OR 72
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Meadowlands | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |