Aunt Jo
6yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 60
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |