3
Drink This Cup
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 93
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 47/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 26/07/2025 | 10th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 01/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |