1
Duboff
4yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 1 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength89%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |