11

Noquestionaboutit

4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 11 · OR 91

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f

#8

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pimlico 17/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 88 · 5f Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/05/2025 · OR 88 par17/05C5OR 88C5 @ Laurel Park 07/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fm 116 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2025 · OR 91 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 19/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 89 · 5f110y Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 89 par19/07C5OR 89C0 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 119C5 @ Keeneland 05/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 93 par5/10C5OR 93C6 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 93 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 95 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 95 par11/07C5OR 95C5 @ Colonial Downs 31/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 93 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 93 par27/08C5OR 93projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Colonial Downs?3rd2nd+1
2026-07-31Colonial Downs?5th4th+1
2026-07-11Colonial Downs?1st0th+1
2026-06-12Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2025-10-05Keeneland?7th6th+1
2025-08-30Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0530/0811/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 61/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20252nd10/147%89%+0.42
07/06/20257th4/179%33%-0.46
19/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
30/08/20253rd9/276%71%-0.05
05/10/20257th9/153%40%-0.13
12/06/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
11/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
31/07/20265th6/492%50%-0.42
27/08/20263rd7/282%67%-0.15