4
Sharon's Prince
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 4 · OR 91
Delaware Park · Race 9 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-7 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |