2
Hero's Journey
3yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 96
Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets Progress Plate · 6f 47y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 35/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength54%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 24/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |