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5

Shezaripper

3yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 5 · OR 89

Durbanville · Race Coast Incentives Powered By Hollywoodbets Progress Plate · 6f 47y

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Creditable ½-length second of 8 to Grapes of Wrath in listed race at this course (7.4f, good, 8/1). Off 102 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 22/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 13222/02C8C3 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f103y Sft 1273/05C3C1 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12231/05C1C1 @ Durbanville 27/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 13227/06C1projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Durbanville?2nd2nd0
2026-05-31Kenilworth?7th7th0
2026-05-03Kenilworth?2nd2nd0
2026-02-22Kenilworth?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/023/0531/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
03/05/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
31/05/20267th9/488%14%-0.74
27/06/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28