6
Hiawatha Goldberg
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 55
Durbanville · VHM Racing Syndicate D Stakes · 6f 47y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Durbanville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Durbanville | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 13/01/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 25/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 18/07/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 55% | -0.31 |