9
Rhythm King
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 63
Durbanville · VHM Racing Syndicate D Stakes · 6f 47y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▲3
Strength14%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: -2.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-04-18 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 9th | −4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength63%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 25/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |