2
Typically French
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 32
Durbanville · VHM Racing Syndicate D Stakes · 6f 47y
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Durbanville | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Durbanville | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kenilworth | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 29/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 06/09/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |