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4

Vivo Per Lei

5yo Mare · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 49

Durbanville · VHM Racing Syndicate D Stakes · 6f 47y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. One win from 30 Flat runs. Creditable third of 7 in handicap (25/2) at this C&D (good to soft) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 04/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1324/03C85 @ Durbanville 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 1285 @ Kenilworth 15/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12815/0455 @ Kenilworth 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1275 @ Kenilworth 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12521/0655 @ Durbanville 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1225 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1205/0855 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1175 @ Durbanville 16/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f47y GS 11616/095projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Durbanville53rd4th−1
2026-08-22Durbanville54th5th−1
2026-08-05Kenilworth56th7th−1
2026-07-14Durbanville54th5th−1
2026-06-21Kenilworth55th6th−1
2026-05-19Kenilworth57th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0319/055/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
25/03/20265th20/10%43%+0.43
15/04/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
19/05/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
21/06/20265th18/15%33%+0.28
14/07/20264th17/255%57%+0.02
05/08/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
22/08/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
16/09/20263rd17/255%67%+0.11