1

Pomp It Up

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 1 · OR 90

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Aviator Middle Stakes · 7f 210y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

16/1, good second of 8 in minor event at this course (7f, good) 31 days ago. Needs a couple of these to falter.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Durbanville 29/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS29/1044 @ Kenilworth 22/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Kenilworth 04/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS4/023C1 @ Fairview 20/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Kenilworth 06/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 115 · HIGHER CLASS6/04C1C1 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 116 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Kenilworth 16/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12916/06C5C5 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y GS 132C5 @ Durbanville 06/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1326/09C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Durbanville?2nd2nd0
2026-08-12Kenilworth?6th6th0
2026-06-16Kenilworth?4th4th0
2026-04-27Kenilworth?11th6th+4
2026-04-06Kenilworth?6th1st+4
2026-02-20Fairview?3rd-1th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1020/0216/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20257th9/276%40%-0.36
22/11/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
04/02/20265th10/382%43%-0.40
20/02/20263rd3/184%33%-0.51
06/04/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
27/04/202611th7/163%9%-0.54
16/06/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
12/08/20266th15/261%17%-0.44
06/09/20262nd11/142%86%+0.44