Promettere
7yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 74
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Aviator Middle Stakes · 7f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Kenilworth | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-08 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 24/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 15/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 08/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 13/12/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/01/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/09/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |