3
Voorloopertjie
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 3 · OR 90
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Aviator Middle Stakes · 7f 210y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Durbanville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-08-27 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 90/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +12.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2024 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 08/02/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 27/09/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 25/10/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 10/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/12/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 12/08/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |