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2

Cannon Bolt

3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 2 · OR 72

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fourth of 8 in maiden (25/2) at this C&D (good to soft) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 18/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13218/04C8C8 @ Scottsville 29/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12629/07C8C8 @ Durbanville 16/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12616/09C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Durbanville?4th4th0
2026-07-29Scottsville?7th7th0
2026-04-18Kenilworth?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0429/0716/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 55/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength72%

Delivery trend -5.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
29/07/20267th7/163%60%-0.03
16/09/20264th10/147%57%+0.10