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10

Groove Master

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 10 · OR 54

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#7

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fifth of 7 in maiden (8/1) at this C&D (good) 46 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13223/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 12325/07C8C8 @ Durbanville 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12622/08C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Durbanville?5th5th0
2026-07-25Durbanville?5th5th0
2026-06-23Kenilworth?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0625/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -34.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20265th40/10%50%+0.50
25/07/20265th11/142%50%+0.08
22/08/20265th9/153%33%-0.19