8
I Am Sam
4yo Colt · 9-6 · Draw 8 · OR 21
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Maiden Plate · 7f 210y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 11-12 · tight 84/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 58% | -0.31 |
| 13/01/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 30/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 06/09/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |