12

Lord Chamberlain

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 12 · OR 43

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

7/2, eighth of 11 in maiden at Kenilworth (6.2f, good to soft) 56 days ago. Up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 12812/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Kenilworth?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength36%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20268th3/184%30%-0.54