3

Waiting Game
3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 71
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Maiden Plate · 7f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%
Delivery trend +24.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |