3

Waiting Game

3yo Colt · 9-2 · Draw 3 · OR 71

Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Maiden Plate · 7f 210y

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

16/1, fifth of 8 in maiden at this C&D (good to soft) 21 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 23/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13223/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1265/08C8C8 @ Durbanville 16/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12616/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Durbanville?5th5th0
2026-08-05Kenilworth?6th6th0
2026-06-23Kenilworth?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/065/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 45/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +24.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/06/20268th8/158%36%-0.22
05/08/20266th33/10%44%+0.44
16/09/20265th16/116%43%+0.27